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Wind turbine economics 101: an engineer's view
As you would expect, engineers questioned my love affair with wind turbines. For starters, I just like things that spin and have watched developments in wind turbines since the mid-Seventies when they weren't much more than glorified eggbeaters.
The blog post which was the same as my May 14 print column provoked some great comments, several which of which praised coal for its vastly more favorable economics. One letter (on actual paper!) from Henry E. Payne III of Payne Engineering in Scott Depot, W. Va., makes two valid points that I was aware of, but neglected to cite in my column advocating a more aggressive approach to wind turbine adoption. Be aware, I have not changed my stance on wind turbines one iota and I did get reader responses sharing my enthusiasm.
On point one, I'll quote Henry's letter:
"One point is capacity factor. This is the full ratio of full-rated generation hours divided by the numbers of hours in a year. Typical capacity factors to a well-run nuclear or coal generating plant is 90-95%. For windmills, it was 2005%. Solar cells are about the same." In other words, the wind does not propel a large turbine at, say, its optimal rating of at 4.5 megawatts. If we're lucky, it'll generate 1.5 megawatts, points out coal and conservation advocate John Landis. Point two: if you want to know what electricity costs(a lot here in the Northeast!!), it's measured in megawatt hours or kilowatt hours. This is how electricity usage is measured.
I remain convinced that wind turbines and solar are each a part of the answer to our energy needs. How big an answer remains to be determined, but renewable sources nibbling away at the percentage of energy provided non-renewables can only be a good thing…especially as wider adoption drives down the cost down of renewables. For now, wind turbines must be subsidized in the U.S. like many new technologies. And they should be…it's one of the better uses of our tax dollars. And how can anyone argue with lower dependence on oil of the Middle East!?
Undetermined commented:
w Een plaatje zegt alles, toch ? y Het volledige rapport is hier te vinden. Lees natuurlijk y de blogposting. s d [url=http://skuper.ru]паркетная доска [/url] 5g
Undetermined commented:
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Undetermined commented:
I'd like to talk to this "engineer", a capacity factor of 2005% sounds a like we have somebody who played with the right numbers and didn't think about the final answer. Like to see the turbine ratings and assumed wind factor.
Undetermined commented:
I read your report in Design News "The Answer is Blowing in the Wind," and found it interesting. It is stunning how the US has lagged behind our friendly European nations in making alternative energy sources happen. I am sympathetic to environmental concerns that wind generators pose (such as bird-killing), but the way I see it the US needs to throw every spear it can at the impending energy crunches headed our way. As a side note, I see the ever-growing human population as the engine of energy demand, so even if we do get busy and ambitious on alternative energy, we will at most get temporary relief from alternative energy sources. But this just highlights the criticality of getting our butts off of the oil barrels and into making alternative energy sources real contributors to our energy picture. Two other quick comments: I had read in Science News about 2 years ago that 15 percent of the US's electricity needs could be met with OCEAN (tidal) power. At that time, the Europeans were going strong on ocean power, but the US stood idle. What's up with that? Finally, I invest in energy stocks, and have tried to identify wind turbine companies to invest in, but to no avail. Is anyone aware of any publicly traded companies involved in wind power (or ocean power, for that matter)? I have pretty much concluded that the venture capitalists maintain control over this kind of technology in the US. (NOTE: I do appreciate GE being mentioned as a wind power maker, but GE is into EVERYTHING! I am looking for more narrowly focused companies.)
Undetermined commented:
"One point is capacity factor. This is the full ratio of full-rated generation hours divided by the numbers of hours in a year. Typical capacity factors to a well-run nuclear or coal generating plant is 90-95%. For windmills, it was 2005%. Solar cells are about the same." WOW!! 2005% capacity factor for wind. I don't think so. 20% maybe.
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